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Can Domino's Outrun Slowing Stores?

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Good Morning. If it feels like a new Domino’s opens on your block every month, you aren't imagining things. The pizza giant is aggressively clustering stores, even as sales at existing outlets have slowed down. Instead of worrying about self-cannibalisation, they are chasing absolute market share and faster deliveries to box out a shrinking Pizza Hut. But at what point do more pizza shops just stop creating new customers?

India’s equity indices ended in losses on Monday. The BSE Sensex closed at 77,708.52, losing 442.93 points or 0.57%. The NSE Nifty50 closed at 24,238.50, losing 95.80 points or 0.39%.

In other news, India’s core sectors grew at a five-month high in June. Meanwhile, lathi charges and tear gas mark the Cockroach Janta Party’s march to Parliament.

Domino's India Keeps Opening Stores as Existing Ones Slow

What?

"It's easier to take a hill and defend it than to wait for a rival to attack it," says QSR consultant Jai Berry, a line that captures Domino's India strategy.

Jubilant FoodWorks, the operator of Domino's in India, is continuing to open new stores even as sales growth at existing outlets has slowed. In the quarter ended June 2026, the chain added 58 stores, pushing its total network to 2,513 outlets, while same-store sales grew just 2.5%.

The previous quarter was even weaker, with like-for-like sales up only 0.2% despite 59 new stores and expansion into 10 new cities. Order volumes are still healthy, but average delivery sales per store have actually declined quarter-over-quarter, meaning each outlet is serving more customers for less revenue per store.

Delivery now makes up 76% of India's revenue, up sharply from two years ago, while dine-in keeps losing ground.

Why?

Domino's has long aimed to place a store within every two kilometres of customers, prioritising speed and delivery-radius efficiency over protecting any single outlet's sales.

Industry analysts note that some cannibalisation between nearby stores is expected and even welcomed internally; two clustered stores controlling a large share of a neighbourhood is seen as more defensible than one dominant store leaving room for a rival to move in.

Denser networks also shorten delivery routes, letting riders complete more orders per hour, and because Domino's uses its own delivery riders rather than aggregator platforms, it avoids the 25–30% commissions charged by services like Swiggy or Zomato.

Competitively, the strategy is easier to sustain because Domino's closest organised rival, Pizza Hut (run by Devyani International and Sapphire Foods), is retrenching, posting negative same-store sales and pausing new store openings, leaving Domino's unchallenged.

What Next?

For now, the expansion is being funded through operating cash flow, not debt, and Jubilant's balance sheet still has room to sustain it. But free cash flow is under pressure from elevated capital spending, and analysts say the next two to three quarters are the real test.

If same-store sales don't recover toward management's targeted 5–7% growth band, experts expect Jubilant to slow down Domino's specific store additions and redirect fresh capital toward Popeyes, its fast-growing fried chicken chain, which posted 28% same-store sales growth last year.

Key signals to watch include average order values, dine-in footfall recovery, and whether the upcoming festive season can reverse the current productivity slowdown.

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5%

That is how much India's infrastructure output grew year-on-year in June, its fastest pace in five months, as strong iron ore and electricity production offset weakness in energy-related sectors. The data marks the first release under a revised series using 2022-23 as the base year, replacing 2011-12 and expanding the core sector basket to nine industries from eight, now including iron ore.

Catch Up Quick: Infrastructure output had grown a revised 3.2% in May, with the sector last growing faster in January at 5.2% under the new series. Iron ore output surged 43.9% in June, while cement rose 9.8% and electricity generation climbed 9.8%. Steel and coal also posted gains, though coal's rise was modest at 1.4%.

Setting: Crude oil, natural gas, fertiliser and refinery products all contracted during the month. Cumulative infrastructure output for April-June rose 3.6% year-on-year, up from a revised 1% in the same period last year.

CJP Protests Unsettle Govt

Thousands of students and young protesters marched toward Parliament in New Delhi on Monday, escalating a nationwide backlash over exam-paper leaks and posing one of the biggest street-level challenges yet to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s third term. Protesters gathered near Jantar Mantar as Parliament's Monsoon Session opened, with reports of tear gas and baton charges by police, claims that Delhi Police denied.

Overview: The protests intensified after activist Sonam Wangchuk was forcibly hospitalised on Saturday during a hunger strike demanding Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan's resignation.

Wangchuk has offered to end his fast if officials acknowledge failures in the exam system and meet him in person. The movement's demands also include compensation for the families of exam aspirants who died by suicide.

The Shift: Health Minister JP Nadda has reportedly requested time to discuss the demands internally, according to the group's spokesperson. Separately, the movement clarified that founder Abhijeet Dipke was not detained, contradicting an earlier claim.

Monsoon Turns Erratic

India's increasingly erratic monsoon is emerging as a major risk to agriculture, food prices and electricity demand. After one of the driest Junes in decades, early July brought intense downpours before rainfall weakened again, disrupting the steady pattern farmers rely on for kharif sowing. 

Backdrop: Nearly half of India's farmland depends on rain rather than irrigation, raising fears that prolonged dry spells followed by heavy showers could damage crops, reduce yields and squeeze farm incomes. The shifting weather has also pushed up temperatures and humidity between rain spells, driving higher demand for air conditioning and putting additional pressure on the country's power grid. 

Pivot: Meteorologists attribute the unusual pattern to a combination of El Niño-related conditions, global warming and atmospheric circulation changes that have altered the monsoon's normal path. Forecasters expect rainfall deficits to persist in several regions, keeping uncertainty high for farmers, power planners and food inflation.

Beyond The US

More Indian students are looking beyond the United States and choosing Europe for higher education, signalling a shift in global study preferences. 

Origin: Rising tuition costs, stricter immigration rules and uncertainty around post-study work opportunities have made the US less attractive. Meanwhile, countries such as Germany, France, the Netherlands and Portugal are actively courting Indian talent with lower tuition fees, simpler visa processes and clearer pathways from education to employment under the India-EU trade deal.

Education consultants say enquiries for European universities have surged as students increasingly prioritise affordability, career prospects and quality of life. Previously, The Signal Brief also covered the US student visa crisis in 2025 and the growing number of Indian students heading to Germany

Break: Europe also hopes to ease labour shortages caused by its ageing population by attracting skilled graduates from India. More than 121,000 Indian students now study across the European Union, and experts expect that number to keep growing despite language barriers, housing shortages and rising anti-immigrant sentiment.

Haryana Eyes $1 Trillion Economy

Haryana's real estate market is expanding beyond Gurugram into new corridors and emerging cities, driven by infrastructure investment, policy support and rising institutional interest, according to CBRE Research's July 2026 report, Corridors & Clusters: Driving Haryana's Next Growth Phase.

Fast Facts: Haryana's projected GSDP stands at $159.4 billion for 2025-26, reflecting a 10.5% CAGR since 2015-16, with a Vision 2047 target of $1 trillion. The state ranks 6th among Indian states in FDI inflows, with total receipts surpassing $17 billion between October 2019 and March 2026.

Gurugram alone contributes 26% of Haryana's excise, GST and stamp duty revenue and hosts over 250 Fortune 500 companies, with more than 100 million sq. ft. of completed office stock as of Q1 2026.

The city attracted $6 billion in real estate capital inflows between 2018 and Q1 2026, with around 70% of deals worth more than $100 million. Office stock is projected to grow from 100 million sq. ft. to 120-125 million sq. ft. by 2030, while residential stock is expected to rise from 3.3 lakh to 4.2-4.4 lakh units.

The Shift: Beyond Gurugram, cities including Faridabad, Panipat, Sonipat, Manesar and Sohna are seeing developer activity from DLF, Godrej Properties, M3M and Signature Global.

CBRE identifies land acquisition, governance reform, affordable housing supply and green infrastructure as the key priorities needed to sustain Haryana's next phase of growth.

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